以下节选改编自丽贝卡·霍姆克斯的《生存、重启、繁荣:在动荡时期引领突破性增长战略》一书。
不能只顾生存……要努力发展。这是市场动荡期间领导者经常听到的一句话。这句话的问题在于错过了关键:仅仅求生存无法确保公司蓬勃发展。在动荡的环境中执行战略要直面不确定性,因为要经历业务稳定、重启或改变战略的循环,然后才能将公司重新引入发展的道路上。这一增长循环要跨越三种模式:生存、重启和繁荣。
如果没能做好充分准备应对重启,管理之后的变化,很可能无法实现繁荣。重启难度很高,因为重启意味着变化。个人应对变化很困难,组织应对起来尤甚。更困难之处在于,重启所需并非微观调整和战略小规模转向,而是组织战略、结构和运营模式根本性改变。那么,如果一切都需要重启,会发生什么?
这一问题非常严肃,但确实会发生。我称之为“硬重启”。如果承认要取得未来的业绩必须经历一系列的变化,就需要硬重启。想推动变化,需要更长时间确定核心的范围以及如何实现。当以下情况综合出现时就有必要:情况发生根本性变化,针对战略环境的大部分信念受到挑战。目前的竞争优势受到严重损害或削弱,历史优势无法提供差异化——或者意识到可能从未真正差异化。之前关于理想客户,提供的价值主张以及上市和销售方法的假设已然失效。可能因为相关增长领域找不到机会,或者在相关领域缺乏胜出的能力。当前的重点事项清单不够准确,也无法反映面临的情况。
如果出现这些情况,首先要接受。这并不意味着再无机会加速成长;只是意味着在重启和转换模式中需要更长时间。采取几个关键步骤后,就能顺利完成硬重启。
调整重点并重启团队
重新审视重启过程中的团队。硬重启不适合脆弱的人,高层团队中很多人都不想继续领导如此高级别的变革。要求高管团队每位成员在新现实中重新重视战略流程,做好准备告别不想继续的团队成员。最好先建立希望变革的小团队。内部小圈子很重要,不过也要积极吸引更广泛的利益相关者团体协助测试信念审核假设。可以当成努力推动重启的老虎突击队,同时跟更广泛的委员会合作测试并学习。
循环讨论一系列棘手的战略问题
硬重启要提问并回答一些关键的战略问题。首先要重新审视自己的信念。就更新后的信念与团队讨论和辩论,制定计划积极测试不认同或最不确定的信念。接下来要问,如何才能在未来建立防御性的竞争优势:确定还有没有竞争优势(很可能并没有,不然也不需要硬重启)。收集可以加强和建立未来优势的元素。格外关注可以加强的资源,多讨论将收购或打造的业务。确保相关信息融入对世界发展的信念。对“在哪开展业务”的选择要基于未来的优势来源,所以要对新想法保持开放,也要现实看待哪些客户会重视产品。不断测试市场,充分了解并在未来的选择中更加关注细节,特别是围绕中期内最重要的任务。
设定里程碑
硬重启期间,制定三个月里程碑,为六个月后是否成功提供明确定义。将里程碑拆解为不到十个的重点任务。记住,继续重启过程和相关讨论的过程中,都是在努力实现里程碑,所以要现实看待能实现的目标,避免在里程碑清单中只有操作策略。
主要关注以下里程碑,我将之简称为DDD,代表定义(Define)——执行(Do)——交付(Deliver)。针对每个里程碑目标,都要确认以下内容:
• 定义:现在了解到哪些与执行相关的情况?
• 执行:需要做什么?
• 交付:将为组织带来怎样的结果,最好是可量化的结果?
每个DDD都应该有负责人和截止日期,目标是在执行时间框架内完成各项“定义”的三分之一。经常见面对标进度。庆祝取得的进展并交流过程,保持高速学习,因为需要更新中期战略重点时,可将学习成果加入其中。
找到重心
想从艰难的重启中成功转型,必须确立明确的重心才能持续推进。转型重心是关键的指导原则或洞察,这些原则或洞察要能概括价值创造所需的过渡措施。这是循环提出重启问题的重要结果,也是未来各项决策的主要框架。只有对审查测试多种假设后结果才会出现。顺其自然,不要强求。一旦确立重心,就要不断强调,并通过这一视角看待其他选择。在牢牢把握住重心之前,不要改变战略,否则只会畏缩不前。
重心明确后,可以围绕核心做出后续的战略选择。
IBM之所以能在郭士纳(Lou Gerstner)领导下做出历史性转变,关键在于承认公司在很多技术领域有所迷失。郭士纳成功领导了公司转型,将IBM的重心重新定位为唯一能为全世界大企业提供集成解决方案的公司,而不再是大型主机公司。郭士纳和团队深知,公司任何单一领域都不是最佳,但比起挑选某一领域的佼佼者,大客户更看重让技术包协同工作的信心。
找到重心是硬重启的关键。保持视野清晰,才能做出全面连贯的选择。
戴尔的硬重启
行业趋势突变也可能导致硬重启。2000年,戴尔还是全世界最大的个人电脑销售商。然而接下来十年,笔记本电脑的利润率一路走低。市场被高端笔记本电脑和低利润Chromebook(Google推出的网络笔记本——译者注)瓜分,中端厂商几乎没有空间。戴尔的另一块优势是服务器和存储业务,随着行业向云计算和物联网(IoT)发展,也变得越发过时。
创始人迈克尔·戴尔回到公司领导艰难的重启。措施包括将公司私有化,从而在做出重大改变时不用受公开市场审查。由戴尔牵头的小团队将重点重新放在技术发展方向,为将来发展达成了交易,包括斥资670亿美元收购持有VMware公司8%股份的EMC。利用分拆VMware增加现金和抵押品之后,2018年戴尔重新上市。
戴尔重新上市后更名为戴尔科技集团,之所以能在新的PC行业中成功,主要是认准一些公司会将历史数据保存在服务器中以实现分散存储。戴尔核心观点是未来围绕数据提供捆绑B2B产品,成为数据中心服务领域最大公司之一,在数据存储、服务和技术基础设施方面提供强大的捆绑服务。添加云管理订阅也增加了经常性收入,从2018年到2022年,IT行业的复合年增速不到5%,而戴尔复合年增长率达到6.6%。
不得不硬重启并不一定是坏事。对IBM、博柏利(Burberry)、戴尔、Tesco等,以及百思买(Best Buy)等公司来说,硬重启开启了快速增长。最糟糕的是忽略重启必需的洞察力。需要彻底按下重启按钮时,就要假设现有预设全都受到挑战,测试审查自己新信念,做好准备创立新业务。(财富中文网)
本编辑摘自丽贝卡·霍姆克斯2024年出版的《生存、重启、繁荣》(Survive, Reset, Thrive),已经过Kogan Page有限公司许可转载和改编。
译者:梁宇
审校:夏林
以下节选改编自丽贝卡·霍姆克斯的《生存、重启、繁荣:在动荡时期引领突破性增长战略》一书。
不能只顾生存……要努力发展。这是市场动荡期间领导者经常听到的一句话。这句话的问题在于错过了关键:仅仅求生存无法确保公司蓬勃发展。在动荡的环境中执行战略要直面不确定性,因为要经历业务稳定、重启或改变战略的循环,然后才能将公司重新引入发展的道路上。这一增长循环要跨越三种模式:生存、重启和繁荣。
如果没能做好充分准备应对重启,管理之后的变化,很可能无法实现繁荣。重启难度很高,因为重启意味着变化。个人应对变化很困难,组织应对起来尤甚。更困难之处在于,重启所需并非微观调整和战略小规模转向,而是组织战略、结构和运营模式根本性改变。那么,如果一切都需要重启,会发生什么?
这一问题非常严肃,但确实会发生。我称之为“硬重启”。如果承认要取得未来的业绩必须经历一系列的变化,就需要硬重启。想推动变化,需要更长时间确定核心的范围以及如何实现。当以下情况综合出现时就有必要:情况发生根本性变化,针对战略环境的大部分信念受到挑战。目前的竞争优势受到严重损害或削弱,历史优势无法提供差异化——或者意识到可能从未真正差异化。之前关于理想客户,提供的价值主张以及上市和销售方法的假设已然失效。可能因为相关增长领域找不到机会,或者在相关领域缺乏胜出的能力。当前的重点事项清单不够准确,也无法反映面临的情况。
如果出现这些情况,首先要接受。这并不意味着再无机会加速成长;只是意味着在重启和转换模式中需要更长时间。采取几个关键步骤后,就能顺利完成硬重启。
调整重点并重启团队
重新审视重启过程中的团队。硬重启不适合脆弱的人,高层团队中很多人都不想继续领导如此高级别的变革。要求高管团队每位成员在新现实中重新重视战略流程,做好准备告别不想继续的团队成员。最好先建立希望变革的小团队。内部小圈子很重要,不过也要积极吸引更广泛的利益相关者团体协助测试信念审核假设。可以当成努力推动重启的老虎突击队,同时跟更广泛的委员会合作测试并学习。
循环讨论一系列棘手的战略问题
硬重启要提问并回答一些关键的战略问题。首先要重新审视自己的信念。就更新后的信念与团队讨论和辩论,制定计划积极测试不认同或最不确定的信念。接下来要问,如何才能在未来建立防御性的竞争优势:确定还有没有竞争优势(很可能并没有,不然也不需要硬重启)。收集可以加强和建立未来优势的元素。格外关注可以加强的资源,多讨论将收购或打造的业务。确保相关信息融入对世界发展的信念。对“在哪开展业务”的选择要基于未来的优势来源,所以要对新想法保持开放,也要现实看待哪些客户会重视产品。不断测试市场,充分了解并在未来的选择中更加关注细节,特别是围绕中期内最重要的任务。
设定里程碑
硬重启期间,制定三个月里程碑,为六个月后是否成功提供明确定义。将里程碑拆解为不到十个的重点任务。记住,继续重启过程和相关讨论的过程中,都是在努力实现里程碑,所以要现实看待能实现的目标,避免在里程碑清单中只有操作策略。
主要关注以下里程碑,我将之简称为DDD,代表定义(Define)——执行(Do)——交付(Deliver)。针对每个里程碑目标,都要确认以下内容:
• 定义:现在了解到哪些与执行相关的情况?
• 执行:需要做什么?
• 交付:将为组织带来怎样的结果,最好是可量化的结果?
每个DDD都应该有负责人和截止日期,目标是在执行时间框架内完成各项“定义”的三分之一。经常见面对标进度。庆祝取得的进展并交流过程,保持高速学习,因为需要更新中期战略重点时,可将学习成果加入其中。
找到重心
想从艰难的重启中成功转型,必须确立明确的重心才能持续推进。转型重心是关键的指导原则或洞察,这些原则或洞察要能概括价值创造所需的过渡措施。这是循环提出重启问题的重要结果,也是未来各项决策的主要框架。只有对审查测试多种假设后结果才会出现。顺其自然,不要强求。一旦确立重心,就要不断强调,并通过这一视角看待其他选择。在牢牢把握住重心之前,不要改变战略,否则只会畏缩不前。
重心明确后,可以围绕核心做出后续的战略选择。
IBM之所以能在郭士纳(Lou Gerstner)领导下做出历史性转变,关键在于承认公司在很多技术领域有所迷失。郭士纳成功领导了公司转型,将IBM的重心重新定位为唯一能为全世界大企业提供集成解决方案的公司,而不再是大型主机公司。郭士纳和团队深知,公司任何单一领域都不是最佳,但比起挑选某一领域的佼佼者,大客户更看重让技术包协同工作的信心。
找到重心是硬重启的关键。保持视野清晰,才能做出全面连贯的选择。
戴尔的硬重启
行业趋势突变也可能导致硬重启。2000年,戴尔还是全世界最大的个人电脑销售商。然而接下来十年,笔记本电脑的利润率一路走低。市场被高端笔记本电脑和低利润Chromebook(Google推出的网络笔记本——译者注)瓜分,中端厂商几乎没有空间。戴尔的另一块优势是服务器和存储业务,随着行业向云计算和物联网(IoT)发展,也变得越发过时。
创始人迈克尔·戴尔回到公司领导艰难的重启。措施包括将公司私有化,从而在做出重大改变时不用受公开市场审查。由戴尔牵头的小团队将重点重新放在技术发展方向,为将来发展达成了交易,包括斥资670亿美元收购持有VMware公司8%股份的EMC。利用分拆VMware增加现金和抵押品之后,2018年戴尔重新上市。
戴尔重新上市后更名为戴尔科技集团,之所以能在新的PC行业中成功,主要是认准一些公司会将历史数据保存在服务器中以实现分散存储。戴尔核心观点是未来围绕数据提供捆绑B2B产品,成为数据中心服务领域最大公司之一,在数据存储、服务和技术基础设施方面提供强大的捆绑服务。添加云管理订阅也增加了经常性收入,从2018年到2022年,IT行业的复合年增速不到5%,而戴尔复合年增长率达到6.6%。
不得不硬重启并不一定是坏事。对IBM、博柏利(Burberry)、戴尔、Tesco等,以及百思买(Best Buy)等公司来说,硬重启开启了快速增长。最糟糕的是忽略重启必需的洞察力。需要彻底按下重启按钮时,就要假设现有预设全都受到挑战,测试审查自己新信念,做好准备创立新业务。(财富中文网)
本编辑摘自丽贝卡·霍姆克斯2024年出版的《生存、重启、繁荣》(Survive, Reset, Thrive),已经过Kogan Page有限公司许可转载和改编。
译者:梁宇
审校:夏林
Michael Dell.
The following is an adapted excerpt from Rebecca Homkes’ book Survive, Reset, Thrive: Leading Breakthrough Growth Strategy in Volatile Times.
Don’t just survive…thrive. It’s a phrase leaders hear often during market turbulence. The problem is it misses a critical point: Just surviving will not advance an organization to a state where it will thrive. Executing strategy in a turbulent environment requires facing uncertainty head-on as you move through a loop of stabilizing your business, resetting or changing the strategy, and then redirecting your company back on a performance pathway to thrive. It is a continuous growth loop across three modes: survive, reset, and thrive.
If you are not prepared to go through a reset and manage the changes that come with it—you will likely not get to thrive mode. Resets are hard because resets involve change. But change is hard for individuals and harder still for organizations. And what is even harder is when the reset needed is more than micro adjustments and slight strategic shifts but a fundamental change in your organization’s strategy, structure, and operating model. So, what happens when you need to reset everything?
It’s a sobering question, and it happens. I call this a “hard reset.” This comes when you have acknowledged that future performance will only come from a full set of changes, and to make these changes, you need longer to determine the scope of the pivot and how to go about it. It happens when there is a combination of the following: Your situation has fundamentally changed, and most of your beliefs about the strategic environment are challenged. Your current competitive advantage has been significantly compromised or weakened, and your historical advantages will not provide differentiation—or you realize perhaps it never did. Previous assumptions about who your ideal customers are, the value proposition you have for them, and your go-to-market and sales approach are no longer valid. This might be because these growth areas no longer provide opportunities, or you are no longer set up to win in these spaces. And your current list of priorities is no longer accurate or reflective of the situation you are facing.
When this is the case, embrace it. It does not mean you will never thrive; it just means you need longer in the reset and transition mode. You can move through a hard reset successfully by embracing a few critical steps.
Refocus and reset the team
Re-examine the team you have with you on the reset process. Hard resets are not for the faint of heart, and many on your top team will not want to go on the journey of leading this level of change. Ask each executive team member to recommit to the strategy process within this new reality and be prepared to lose team members who don’t want to sign up for it. It’s better to start with a smaller team who will commit to the change. While you want a small inner circle, you will need to actively engage a wider stakeholder body to help test beliefs and vet assumptions. Think of this as a small tiger team who will work on the reset and a wider council to engage with for testing and learning.
Cycle through a set of tough strategy questions
A hard reset asks and answers a small set of critical strategy questions. It starts with revisiting your beliefs. Discuss and debate your updated beliefs with the team and build a plan to actively test the ones where you disagree or have the most uncertainty about. Next ask what it will take to build a defensible competitive advantage going forward: Determine if you still have a competitive advantage (you probably don’t—otherwise you wouldn’t be in a hard reset). Glean what elements you can use to strengthen and build an advantage going forward. Over-index on the assets you can strengthen and discuss what you will buy or build. Make sure you anchor this in your beliefs around where the world is going. Your “where to play” choices are based on your future sources of advantage, so be open to new ideas but also be realistic around which customers are going to value your offering. Continually and actively test the market to learn and get more nuanced in your future choices, especially around what you will decide as your top, midterm priorities going forward.
Set milestones
During a hard reset, develop rolling three-month milestones set towards a six-month definition of success. Limit these milestones to ten or fewer focused tasks. Remember you are executing these milestones while continuing the reset process and related discussions, so be realistic with what you can achieve and avoid including mere operational tactics on the milestone list.
Track these milestones in a focused tracker that I call a DDD, which stands for Define-Do-Deliver. For each milestone goal, determine the following:
• Define: What do we now know that we need to know to execute this?
• Do: What activity needs to be done?
• Deliver: What result, ideally quantifiable, will this produce for the organization?
Each DDD should have an owner and a deadline with the goal of having all “defines” completed one-third of the way through that execution time frame. Meet frequently to review progress. Celebrate and communicate progress along the way and keep learning velocity high, as you will incorporate these learnings into the updated top midterm, strategic priorities when it is time for them.
Find your center of gravity
Successful transformations from a hard reset necessitate a clear center of gravity to move forward. Your transformation center of gravity is the key guiding principle or insight that encapsulates the value-creating transition needed. It is the critical outcome of cycling through the reset questions, and the main frame for all future decisions. It will only emerge after vetting and testing multiple assumptions. Let it emerge and do not force it. Once you have it, communicate it incessantly and put all other choices through this lens. Do not reset the strategy until you have a firm grasp of your center of gravity, else you will falter repeatedly.
When these are articulated, the subsequent strategy choices can be made around them.
Key to IBM’s historic turnaround under Lou Gerstner was acknowledging IBM had in many ways lost its way in the technology landscape. Gerstner successfully led the transformation of the company by reframing IBM’s center of gravity as not being a mainframe company but rather the only one that could provide integrated solutions to the world’s largest companies. Gerstner and his team knew that they were not the best in any one area, but major customers would place greater value on having confidence that the technology package would all work together than in picking individual winners and making it work themselves.
Finding your center of gravity is the critical juncture step of the hard reset. Keeping a clear line of sight into this will enable you to make further coherent choices across the board.
Dell’s hard reset
Massive shifts in industry trends can also lead to hard resets. Dell was the world’s largest seller of personal computers in 2000. In the decade that followed, there was a race to the bottom in laptop margins. The market became divided between high-end laptops and low-margin Chromebooks with little room for a middle player. The server and storage business, another of Dell’s strengths, became increasingly obsolete in the industry’s movement towards cloud computing and the Internet of Things (IoT).
Founder Michael Dell returned to the company to lead the hard reset. This included taking the company private to make big changes outside public market scrutiny. The small team, with Michael Dell at the helm, renewed focus on where the technology world was going and made deals to match it, including the enormous $67 billion takeover of EMC which owned an 8 percent stake in VMware. Using the VMware spinout to boost cash and collateral, the company eventually went public again in 2018.
Dell Technologies, its new trading name, was able to successfully compete in a renewed PC industry on the bet that companies would keep some historical data housed in servers for diversification. Its key insight was around the future of a bundled B2B offering around data, becoming one of the largest players in data center servicing, and being able to offer a powerful bundle in data storage, services, and technology infrastructure. Adding a cloud-management subscription added recurring revenue, and from 2018 to 2022 Dell had a CAGR of 6.6 percent compared with less than 5 percent for the IT industry.
Having to undergo a hard reset does not have to be bad. For many companies, such as IBM, Burberry, Dell, Tesco, or others such as Best Buy, the hard reset led to dramatic growth journeys. What is bad is to ignore the insight that you need one. When you need to press the reset button in full, assume all existing assumptions have been challenged, test and vet your new beliefs, and be prepared to build a new business.
This edited extract is from Survive, Reset, Thrive by Rebecca Homkes ©2024 and is reproduced and adapted with permission from Kogan Page Ltd.